![]() ![]() How do potential 2024 candidate fare?ĭeSantis speaks during a televised debate against Democratic opponent Charlie Crist, at Sunrise Theatre in Fort Pierce.īeyond Trump, who faces only a verdict by proxy, there are other 2024 contenders who will receive much more direct judgements on Tuesday.įlorida Gov. The results there will be seen as a broad harbinger of what is to come in the battle for Latino voters. Catherine Cortez Masto (D), is in serious peril.īut keep an eye on three Texas House races too - the 15th District, the 28th District and the 34th District. In the latter, the nation’s first Latina senator, Sen. Republicans have also been enthused about the inroads they have made in the border counties of South Texas.Īt least two of Tuesday’s marquee Senate match-ups are in states with significant Latino populations: Arizona and Nevada. Four years previously, Hillary Clinton had won there by 30 points. ![]() In the 2020 election, for instance, Biden carried Florida’s Miami-Dade County by just 7 points. Trump even showed some improvement between 20 as he went down to overall defeat. Trump performed better with Latino voters, despite his hard-line rhetoric on illegal immigration, than the 2012 GOP nominee, the much more conventional Mitt Romney. One of the most striking - and surprising - macro political developments of recent years has been the dilution of Latino support for the Democratic Party. 14, 2020 file photo, Trump gives a thumbs up to the cheering crowd after a Latinos for Trump Coalition roundtable in Phoenix. Does the Democratic hold on Latino voters weaken further? ![]() One thing’s for sure: If Democrats have an unexpectedly good night on Tuesday, the abortion issue will be a big part of the explanation. On the other hand, an Economist-YouGov poll taken at roughly the same time found that 51 percent of all adults - and 60 percent of women - said they would be thinking about abortion “a lot” as they cast their votes this year.Īnother factor to consider is that voters in five states will be weighing in on abortion-related ballot measures on Tuesday. Still, polling on abortion is notoriously tricky, in part because so much depends upon the phrasing of the question.Ī NewsNation-Decision Desk HQ poll conducted at the end of October found about 17 percent of registered voters citing abortion as the most important issue in determining their vote - a sizable number, for sure, but well behind the 44 percent who chose inflation. ![]()
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